“The situation is very difficult,” Juha Sipilä, the vote-puller and winner of the parliamentary elections 2015, said to me at the Centre party’s election watch gathering in Helsinki’s Töölö district late on Sunday evening. “We need a big change.”
Sipilä, 53, who received 30,733 votes, will be the man driving the negotiations to form a new government for the parliament. He is likely to be chosen as the speaker of the parliament and he will be the new prime minister.
The difficult situation Sipilä was talking about is of course the one of Finland: the debt, unemployment and a government that can actually function.
The citizens, obviously, trust that the latter will be fixed by Sipilä.
Sipilä said at the watch gathering that the most crucial things in forming a new government are the mutual trust between the parties, the contents of the government platform (mutual goals that the parties can agree upon) and the result of the elections.
One option for forming the new government is a one among the three largest parties based on the results.
The Centre party came first. It received 21.2 per cent of the votes and received 49 seats. The second position was grabbed by the Finns party with 17.6 per cent of the votes and 38 seats and the third place went to the National Coalition party (NCP), which received 18.1 per cent of the votes and received 37 seats in the parliament.
However, this type of a coalition would need some serious attitude adjustment and a kind of lobotomy for the past.
Antti Rinne (12,096 votes), the chair of SDP, said at an election panel three days ago that NCP and SDP could not sit in the same government.
This is due to a war between the final metres of the last parliament when both parties started voting against the government bills. Rinne said that he is used to working with a NCP that actually keeps its promises. The trust was obviously gone.
Another option to form a new government would be between the Centre, the Finns and the Social Democrats, which received the fourth place; SDP received 16.4 per cent of the votes and got 34 seats in the parliament.
The score of the elections means that Timo Soini (2nd place, 29,441 votes), the chair of the Finns party, will be one of the key players in forming the new government. If there is trust and the government platform doesn’t contain any agreements against the core principles of the Finns (which it shouldn’t) the party will likely join the government, a step in from the opposition, where they stayed during the previous term because Soini couldn’t find an agreement with Jyrki Katainen (NCP), the prime minister prior Alexander Stubb from NCP (3rd place, 27,003 votes).
Now, there seems to be trust between Soini and Sipilä. Based on the observations of how they praised each other after the results, they seem to cope with each other pretty well.
Nevertheless, the negotiations for the new government will start ASAP and could take anywhere from one to several months.
The new parliament will summon on April 29.
[divider]The Results of the Finnish Parilamentary Elections 2015[/divider]
1. The Centre party: 21,2% of the votes, 49 seats
2. The Finns party: 17.6% of the votes, 37 seats
3. The National Coalition party: 18.1% of the votes, 37 seats
4. The Social Democrats: 16.4% of the votes, 34 seats
5. The Greens party: 8.5% of the votes, 15 seats
6. The Left Aliaance: 7.2% of the votes, 12 seats
7. The Swedish People’s party: 4.9% of the votes, 9 seats
8. The Christian Democrats: 3.5% of the votes, 5 seats